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Where does this figure come from?Electricity13 November 2026

"Near data centres, electricity bills have risen by 36%"

Guillaume PakulaClément ReynaudSébastien PierfedericiAlexandre Veilly By Projet Celsius
Published on 13 November 2026 · 9 min read
A green Linky electricity meter fixed to a wall, its screen showing a reading in kWh

A Linky meter in a home in the Ain, in March 2018. Photo Benoît Prieur, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons.

The figure has circulated in France since January 2026, with no source cited, about US regions close to data centres. In the United States, the average household electricity price rose by 31% from 2020 to 2025 in current dollars, from all causes combined; in France, none of the 2 changes to the regulated tariff in 2026 cites data centres among its causes.

Contents
1.

Origin of the figure

On 22 January 2026, Journal du Geek writes that "in some areas close to data centres, electricity bills rose by 36% between 2020 and 2025". The figure then appears in an article by Hello Watt published on 28 January, under the title "Votre facture d'électricité va-t-elle bondir de 36 % à cause de l'IA ?". Neither of the 2 articles names a study. The first links at the bottom of the page to an article in The Verge of 21 January 2026 on OpenAI's energy commitments, which gives no figure for an increase.

None of the studies we have read gives 36%. The closest value is a national average: according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), the average household electricity price rose from 13.15 to 17.23 cents per kWh from 2020 to 2025, an increase of 31 % in current dollars. Once inflation is deducted, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) counts a 3% rise in retail prices, all sectors, from 2019 to 2025. The most likely explanation for the "36%" is a national increase of this kind, later attributed to areas close to data centres.

2.

US measurements

The US work that attributes an increase to data centres concerns wholesale prices and the cost of capacity, in the regions where the data centres are concentrated. For the wholesale price, the price at which suppliers buy electricity, a study by North Carolina State University, published in May 2026 in Environmental Research Letters, sees it rising by 6 to 29% on a national average by 2030 because of data centres and cryptocurrency mining, and by up to 57 % in some regions, notably Virginia, Pennsylvania, West Texas and New York. This is a projection, for a price that makes up only part of a household's bill.

The cost of capacity is paid by consumers to ensure that generation will follow the peak. PJM, which operates the grid in part of the eastern United States, buys this capacity at auction. Its market monitor attributes to data centre demand 29.4 billion dollars, or 46 %, of the capacity charges of the last 4 auctions. In the 1st half of 2026, it estimates that this demand raised PJM's total wholesale electricity cost by 9.7%, from 103.40 to 114.50 dollars per MWh.

Rising electricity prices in the United States: the figure in circulation and the measurements
The figure in circulation, 202636 %rise in bills near data centres, 2020 to 2025
  • no study cited
  • no published value that comes close locally
No source
The published measurements+ 31 %average household price, current dollars, 2020 to 2025
  • + 3% once inflation is deducted, all sectors, 2019 to 2025
  • PJM: + 9.7% of the wholesale cost in the 1st half of 2026, attributed to data centres
3.

The French situation

In France, the Commission de régulation de l'énergie (CRE, the French energy regulator) proposed keeping the regulated sale tariff stable on 1 February 2026 (- 0.83 %): the end of regulated access to historic nuclear electricity (ARENH) lowered the cost of energy, and other items offset this fall. It proposed + 2.5 % on 1 August, owing to the network tariff and a new capacity mechanism; for a household consuming 4.5 MWh per year, the bill goes from 1,046 to 1,072 euros. Neither of the 2 proposals cites data centres.

The cost of the future grid has been quantified. Of the €16 billion that RTE plans by 2040 to connect consumers, producers and storage operators, about €10 billion will be paid by those who request the connection; €14 billion will go to adapting the extra-high-voltage grid to growing consumption, and will pass through the tariff. Through the grid tariff alone, the whole RTE and Enedis programme would raise the bill of an average household by 0.3 to 0.4% per year until 2040, excluding inflation and with supply and taxation unchanged. The CRE adds that this rise will be cushioned by the growth in consumption. Data centres are one source of demand among others there, with industry, hydrogen and electric mobility; our analysis of the electricity shortfall details the connections they have reserved.

4.

Limits of the figure

US studies attribute to data centres increases in the wholesale price and the cost of capacity in the regions where they are concentrated. The average rise in a US household's bill has, for its part, several causes at once, including inflation.

For France, the absence of an increase attributed to data centres holds for 2026. As at 13 November 2026, we have found no public assessment of their future effect on prices. RTE forecasts the consumption of data centres on dedicated sites, 10 or 15 TWh in 2030 depending on the scenario, against 4 to 5 TWh in 2024, without drawing any price from it. In a post in the Bloc-notes Éco of the Banque de France published in November 2026, 2 authors note that the single national electricity price does not signal to operators the areas where the network is saturated.

Point to note

A wholesale price, a capacity cost and a retail price cannot be compared directly, and an increase in current dollars includes inflation.

Guillaume PakulaClément ReynaudSébastien PierfedericiAlexandre Veilly
By Projet CelsiusAI Impact, Projet Celsius · 13 November 2026
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Sources

12 documents

Every figure was read in its source; the hub's methodology is described in Methodology and sources.

Cite this analysis

AI Impact, Projet Celsius, "Near data centres, electricity bills have risen by 36%", 13 November 2026. https://projetcelsius.com/en/ai/analyses/will-ai-raise-electricity-bills/

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